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La biodiversité devrait avoir son « GIEC »

La biodiversité devrait avoir son « GIEC »
Offrir à la dégradation des écosystèmes la même importance politique et la même exposition médiatique qu'au dérèglement climatique : telle est l'ambition de l'IPBES, « GIEC de la biodiversité » dont la création devrait être entérinée en septembre

C’était dans l’air depuis des années, les discussions se sont éternisées mais c’est désormais une quasi-certitude : des experts intergouvernementaux mandatés par les Nations Unies vont être dédiés à la préservation des espèces.

« Quasi » car la recommandation adoptée vendredi à l’unanimité par les quatre-vingt dix États réunis à Pusan (Corée du Sud) sous l’égide du Programme des Nations Unies pour l’Environnement (PNUE) doit encore être validée lors de l’Assemblée générale qui se déroulera en septembre au siège new-yorkais de l’organisation. Reste que l’IPBES (International platform on biodiversity and ecosystems, « Plate-forme intergouvernementale sur la biodiversité et les services écosystémiques » en français), nom de ce « GIEC » de la biodiversité réclamé par de nombreux défenseurs de l’environnement, a de très fortes chances de voir le jour. « C’est une étape décisive, un vrai progrès », a commenté Chantal Jouanno, Secrétaire d’État à l’Écologie.

En cette année où la sauvegarde des écosystèmes a été consacrée priorité de l’année par les Nations Unies, le symbole est quoi qu’il en soit très fort. Voilà des années en effet que le monde de la science tire la sonnette d’alarme, aussi le virage très probablement décisif pris en fin de semaine passée traduit au moins la volonté de la communauté internationale d’infléchir pour de bon une évolution dramatique jusque là désinstitutionnalisée.

Une idée vieille de cinq ans

Il y a huit ans elle s’était fixée l’objectif d’endiguer la dégradation de la biodiversité avant 2010 et a spectaculairement échoué. De ce revers environnemental majeur est sans doute née l’entente de principe conclue en Corée du Sud, entente néanmoins tardive dans la mesure où l’idée d’un réseau planétaire remonte à 2005 et à la publication de la brûlante « Évaluation des écosystèmes pour le millénaire ». Cette étude à laquelle quelque mille quatre cents scientifiques ont collaboré avait dressé un tableau très noir des ressources naturelles, entre déboisement intense des grandes forêts tropicales, diminution sensible des stocks halieutiques et fragilisation des récifs coralliens. Inutile de rappeler que la situation a encore empiré depuis.

Jusqu’en 2008 et la reprise à son compte par le PNUE de ce projet que la France a longtemps été la seule à soutenir, les États ont toutefois été opiniâtres à tirer à hue et à dia. Parmi les plus réticents citons le Brésil et la Chine, qui assimilaient la création d’une telle structure à une forme d’ingérence.

Vocation consultative

Sur ce point les deux pays ont été entendus dans la mesure où l’IPBES ne formulera aucune recommandation de politique publique. La feuille de route de ses membres devra en outre être approuvée à l’unanimité des pays membres. Tout porte donc à croire que des sujets délicats comme l’extension des cultures liées à la fabrication des biocarburants au détriment de la protection des forêts primaires ou les ravages provoqués par la déforestation en Indonésie – quoique désormais pris très au sérieux par les autorités du pays - ne seront pas examinés par cet organisme qui, à l’image de son aîné consacré à l’évolution du climat, se veut d’abord consultatif.

Sa mission principale sera en effet de fournir aux gouvernements évaluations et scenarii sur la situation de la biodiversité mondiale, moyennant sans doute des rapports généraux et spécifiques semblables sur le fond à ceux rédigés par le GIEC.

Les ONG observatrices

Pas de préconisations politiques donc, ni de sollicitations des organisations non-gouvernementales, lesquelles n’auront pas la possibilité de saisir l’IPBES et seront cantonnées à un rôle strict d’observation qu’elles ne devraient pas manquer de trouver insatisfaisant. « Les gouvernements redoutent le savoir des scientifiques, nous l’avons clairement senti », a en tout cas déjà déploré Anne Larigauderie, présidente de Diversitas, un programme qui regroupe plusieurs milliers de scientifiques.

Histoire sans doute de minimiser les risques de critiques sur la crédibilité de la future plateforme *, les contributions dudit programme ainsi que celles de l’ensemble des ONG ne seront par ailleurs pas prises en compte par les experts dans leurs évaluations. Seules des études « crédibles scientifiquement, indépendantes et revues par des pairs » entreront en ligne de considération.

Dernière certitude à l’heure où nous écrivons ces lignes : un fonds alimenté par des dons sera créé dans l’optique de renforcer le pouvoir scientifique des pays en développement, ainsi que ces derniers l’avaient exigé pour que l’IPBES ne soit pas cornaqué par les pays du Nord.

Interface entre les scientifiques et les politiques, la future institution onusienne répond à une urgence : celle de préserver des écosystèmes dont on ignore encore exactement à quel point ils sont altérés. « Il y a un déficit de connaissances dans beaucoup de régions du monde. C’est un domaine qui n’a pas été favorisé pendant très longtemps, y compris en France », précise à ce sujet Lucien Chabason, directeur délégué de l’Institut du développement durale et des relations internationales (IDDRI).

Experts au Nord, biodiversité au Sud

Beaucoup d’inconnues subsistent sur le fonctionnement de cette plateforme dont il faut espérer qu’elle réussira, comme le GIEC a su le faire, à imposer durablement la thématique à laquelle elle va être dévolue dans les relations internationales.

« L’un des enjeux des négociations est que les experts sont plutôt au Nord et la biodiversité au Sud », rappelle Christine Sourd, directrice adjointe des programmes au WWF, qui recommande d’ « éviter que ceux qui ont les moyens savent pendant que les autres subissent ». « Cela suppose de donner aux pays pauvres les moyens, y compris financiers, d’avoir une expertise pour pouvoir parler au même niveau que les autres », estime-t-elle. Comme celles qui portent sur le réchauffement climatique ces négociations-ci seront complexes. Aux décideurs de tout mettre en œuvre pour ne pas les compliquer davantage en faisant naître un sentiment de défiance dans les rangs des « sans-grade ».

Les premières conclusions de l’IPBES devraient servir de bases aux futures tractations liées à la sauvegarde de la biodiversité. L’inscription officielle d’un nouveau rendez-vous de la plus haute importance à l’agenda politique n’est très certainement plus qu’une question de semaines.

Il s’agira avant que la future plateforme se mette à l’ouvrage de s’entendre sur ses statuts. En prenant soin de ne pas s’asseoir sur les desiderata de pays en développement (PED) qui pour que les bases de l’édifice soient aussi solides que possible devront aussi avoir voix au chapitre.

* Les experts du GIEC se sont en effet appuyés sur certaines études menées par des ONG qui se sont révélées inexactes et ont pour partie contribué à faire naître les interrogations sur la qualité des travaux du GIEC.
Crédit : Wikimedia commons – Mike Young
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